Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 277.455490 313.590023 353.765004 401.944817 458.417009 522.828772 602.308552
2025-06-08 219.048301 265.141114 320.944430 394.252513 489.173398 609.536561 776.323966
2025-06-15 189.464150 239.852038 304.402396 394.644259 519.962787 691.571173 951.086003
2025-06-22 165.461177 216.684998 285.198426 385.735003 533.346780 748.559662 1098.785941
2025-06-29 149.562787 201.623749 273.895329 384.547467 555.293129 818.869117 1278.242675
2025-07-06 132.589574 182.837977 254.665745 368.430008 551.197002 846.947691 1393.108457
2025-07-13 126.637325 179.000830 256.298017 383.430275 597.180655 962.313094 1684.033588
2025-07-20 121.865752 176.248662 258.971810 399.966749 647.606542 1093.622763 2037.318377
2025-07-27 114.618993 168.923339 253.604271 402.311456 673.364218 1184.378726 2332.598967
2025-08-03 105.888833 158.460326 242.114419 392.671448 675.694794 1230.261406 2542.520286
2025-08-10 98.661886 149.783987 232.701991 385.469435 681.308528 1283.214182 2782.611639
2025-08-17 95.471896 147.393253 233.515927 396.642688 723.968161 1421.027937 3271.481903
2025-08-24 90.156746 141.191181 227.481866 394.883361 741.374823 1509.703583 3670.221133
2025-08-31 84.376566 133.789466 218.747359 387.064910 745.183703 1568.706934 4009.916010
2025-09-07 80.380494 129.145160 214.497477 387.461190 766.634865 1674.142610 4528.242501
2025-09-14 75.489622 122.576964 206.185564 378.749136 766.416609 1725.501459 4896.280531
2025-09-21 72.030969 118.313817 201.791537 377.587917 783.371036 1825.252934 5471.929395
2025-09-28 67.023128 110.936082 190.973981 361.825464 763.513255 1821.467726 5674.565955
2025-10-05 66.083199 110.917042 194.211505 376.495439 819.919259 2044.921950 6859.134233
2025-10-12 65.318287 111.154569 197.943039 392.664455 882.974271 2305.734746 8365.492785
2025-10-19 63.086628 108.472169 195.643861 394.956782 910.278762 2463.880048 9519.214810
2025-10-26 59.817034 103.609998 188.585392 385.531688 904.574323 2513.774094 10179.697906
2025-11-02 57.009747 99.487389 182.770196 378.489475 904.552922 2583.579166 10996.612710